Locate nations on the J Curve - left for authoritarian, right for democratic. Then figure out how to force those on the left to open their societies, rather than encouraging them to shut them tighter by further isolating them. The West's isolation of Kim Jong-il's North Korea gives him the cover he needs to extend his brutal regime (the mistake the U.S. made for a long time with Saddam Hussein and Castro); in Saudi Arabia, western governments should encourage manageable change before the country breaks apart; they should ...
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Locate nations on the J Curve - left for authoritarian, right for democratic. Then figure out how to force those on the left to open their societies, rather than encouraging them to shut them tighter by further isolating them. The West's isolation of Kim Jong-il's North Korea gives him the cover he needs to extend his brutal regime (the mistake the U.S. made for a long time with Saddam Hussein and Castro); in Saudi Arabia, western governments should encourage manageable change before the country breaks apart; they should help strengthen China's economy so it can further liberalize; they must encourage Israel to decide what kind of country it will be. Filled with imaginative and surprising examples of how to correct outworn political ideas, The J Curvepoints the way for western governments to lead the way to a realistic political balance and a healthier economic future.
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The author is intelligent and well-read. The book is a tour of most of the trouble spots of the world. The author has interesting, informative, and sometimes counter-intuitive things to say about each and every one of them. For this reason I would recommend it as a must-read for the beach or for the person who knows a little bit about foreign policy and want to know a little bit more. The BIG IDEA of the book -- i.e., the J-Curve -- is not really a theory or an idea or much of anything other than a way to organize a lot of information. But there is a lot of information, and the J-Curve graph helps organize it, albeit imprecisely. So I give it a pass on that score.